用磁共振成像和前列腺特异性膜抗原正电子发射断层扫描分子成像外加发展一项新的评估概率前列腺癌患者骨盆淋巴结转移的评分卡,并通过外部验证。
Development and External Validation of a Novel Nomogram to Predict the Probability of Pelvic Lymph-node Metastases in Prostate Cancer Patients Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Molecular Imaging with Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography.
发表日期:2023 Apr 10
作者:
André N Vis, Dennie Meijer, Matthew J Roberts, Amila R Siriwardana, Andrew Morton, John W Yaxley, Hemamali Samaratunga, Louise Emmett, Peter M van de Ven, Martijn W Heymans, Jakko A Nieuwenhuijzen, Henk G van der Poel, Maarten L Donswijk, Thierry N Boellaard, Ivo G Schoots, Phillip Stricker, Anne-Maree Haynes, Daniela E Oprea-Lager, Geoffrey D Coughlin, Pim J van Leeuwen
来源:
EUROPEAN UROLOGY ONCOLOGY
摘要:
需要对前列腺癌(PCa)患者进行盆腔淋巴结转移病(pN1)的术前评估,以确定是否有资格接受扩展盆腔淋巴结清扫(ePLND)。使用术前临床和组织病理学参数、磁共振成像(MRI)和前列腺特异性膜抗原(PSMA)正电子发射断层扫描(PET)开发一种新的直观预后评分表,用于预测初诊局部PCa患者的病理淋巴结(pN)状态。总共有700名接受机器人辅助根治性前列腺切除术和ePLND的符合条件的患者被包括在模型建立队列中。外部验证队列包括305名接受手术治疗的患者。采用逐步回归法选择变量,构建Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表。使用接受者操作特征曲线下面积(AUC)、校准图和决策曲线分析评估最终模型的性能。模型随后在外部人群中得到验证。Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表包括最初的前列腺特异性抗原值、MRI T分期、最高活检等级组(GG)、活检技术、临床意义PCa的系统性发现核心的百分比(GG≥2),以及PSMA-PET上的淋巴结状态。预测pN状态的AUC为0.81(95%置信区间[CI] 0.78-0.85)。在外部验证中,Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表显示出比Briganti-2017和Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center(MSKCC)评分表具有更优越的判别能力(AUC 0.75 [95% CI 0.69-0.81] vs 0.67 [95% CI 0.61-0.74]和0.65 [95% CI 0.58-0.72],p<0.05),并且与Briganti-2019评分表的判别能力相似(AUC 0.78 [95% CI 0.71-0.86] vs 0.80 [95% CI 0.73-0.86];p=0.76)。Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表在外部验证中的校准表现出色,在阈值概率≥4%时具有增加的净收益。验证过的Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表的性能优于Briganti-2017和MSKCC评分表,与Briganti-2019评分表相似或更好。此外,它适用于所有新诊断的不利中高危PCa患者。我们开发并验证了Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney评分表,用于预测手术前前列腺癌的淋巴结转移。该评分表的表现与目前所有可用的评分表相似或更优。版权所有©2023作者。Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
Preoperative assessment of the probability of pelvic lymph-node metastatic disease (pN1) is required to identify patients with prostate cancer (PCa) who are candidates for extended pelvic lymph-node dissection (ePLND).To develop a novel intuitive prognostic nomogram for predicting pathological lymph-node (pN) status in contemporary patients with primary diagnosed localized PCa, using preoperative clinical and histopathological parameters, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET).In total, 700 eligible patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy and ePLND were included in the model-building cohort. The external validation cohort consisted of 305 surgically treated patients. Logistic regression with backward elimination was used to select variables for the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram.Performance of the final model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision-curve analyses. Models were subsequently validated in an external population.The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram included initial prostate-specific antigen value, MRI T stage, highest biopsy grade group (GG), biopsy technique, percentage of systematic cores with clinically significant PCa (GG ≥2), and lymph-node status on PSMA-PET. The AUC for predicting pN status was 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.85) for the final model. On external validation, the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed superior discriminative ability to the Briganti-2017 and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) nomograms (AUC 0.75 [95% CI 0.69-0.81] vs 0.67 [95% CI 0.61-0.74] and 0.65 [95% CI 0.58-0.72], respectively; p < 0.05), and similar discriminative ability to the Briganti-2019 nomogram (AUC 0.78 [95% CI 0.71-0.86] vs 0.80 [95% CI 0.73-0.86]; p = 0.76). The Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram showed excellent calibration on external validation, with an increased net benefit at a threshold probability of ≥4%.The validated Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram performs superior to the Briganti-2017 and MSKCC nomograms, and similar to the Briganti-2019 nomogram. Furthermore, it is applicable in all patients with newly diagnosed unfavorable intermediate- and high-risk PCa.We developed and validated the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram for the prediction of prostate cancer spread to lymph nodes before surgery. This nomogram performs similar or superior to all presently available nomograms.Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.